we're in a cycle now, it's the fourth year in a row where you get this increase in volatility after tax time. and you see all the companies revising their earning forecast to temporary expectations. and so typically in the next month or two we'll have some external macro surprise that will get everyone concerned again. it's been a very consistent pattern that we do well in the fall and the early spring and then cool off and get more volatile. >> rick santelli, markets all waiting for these earnings reports this week. in the meantime among your markets, gold has bounced big today. the dollar is still flirting with 100 yen. what are you watching? what are the benchmarks you're keeping an eye on this week? >> well, you know what, i think the biggest benchmark that i'm going to pay attention to is the dax stock index in germany. it's down about 1.75% on the year. last week not only were eurozone car sales, registrations off, but germany was off in particular. i think keep it simple. i think as those auto numbers deteriorate, it's just going to exaggerate all the other weaker economies. and